Referendum – 1 Day Away
Voting is on 23 June 2016 between 7.00 am and 10.00 pm
|Date||Leave %||Remain%||Don’t Know||Pollster||Method|
The polls suggest the result is too close to call. Interestingly, one polling organisation asked people how they would feel after the result. Some 41% of people said a Leave victory would cause them anxiety compared to 33% for a Remain victory.
William Hill: UK Remain: 2/9 [prev 2/7] – UK Leave: 3/1 [prev 13/5] – Scotland Leave: 10/1
According to Betfair, betting markets have seen a 7 point swing in favour of Britain voting to stay in the EU, as momentum has shifted towards Remain. “Betting markets’ implied chance of a Brexit Vote has dipped to 25 per cent from 40 per cent last week,” said Oliver Jones at Capital Economics. “In other words, betting markets consider a Remain vote three times as likely.”
Sterling is hovering around seven cents above last week’s lows.
In Memoriam – Jo Cox MP
The late Jo Cox MP was shot and stabbed in her Yorkshire Constituency last Thursday. Today would have been her birthday. Tributes are planned today in Auckland, Beirut, Brussels, Dublin, New York, Oslo, Paris, Washington DC, London’s Trafalgar Square and in Mrs Cox’s Batley and Spen constituency.
See this BBC page: Jo Cox ‘died for her views’, her widower tells BBC Jo Cox’s last tweet read “Immigration is a legitimate concern, but it is not a good reason to leave the EU”. Perhaps we should bear that in mind tomorrow.
See also this post on the Conservative Home blog: Peter Marshall: We should care not only about our country, but about the world it is part of. And vote to stay tomorrow.
Business Backs Remain
1,285 business leaders who together employ 1.75 million people — including more than 900 small and medium-sized firms and 51 of the FTSE 100 — say in a letter to The Times that Brexit would damage the British economy.
In the joint letter, the bosses say: We know our firms are stronger in Europe. Our reasons are straightforward: businesses and their employees benefit massively from being able to trade inside the world’s largest single market without barriers.
We know that Britain leaving the EU would mean having to re-establish terms of trade from scratch with our home market of 500 million consumers. That wouldn’t just hurt exporters but the hundreds of thousands of small and medium firms who do business with them.
These are the people who provide the jobs on which our economy depends.
The BBC “Great Debate” in Wembley Arena
I wonder if I am the only person who thinks this kind of event is entirely unhelpful. This vastly expensive staged event barely scratched the surface of the campaign issues.
For what it was worth, Scottish Tory Leader, Ruth Davidson, MSP was the most impressive challenger on the Remain side with Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan a close second.
Boris Johnson was, of course, the Leave “star” but, of course, all he did was to spout campaign soundbites and he provided no facts.
We should remember that the Vote Leave slogan of “Take Control” in reality is a campaign by a minority of the Conservative Party and an even smaller minority of the House of Commons (25%) to take our country down a road that a majority of our Parliament (75%) considers dangerous and wrong.