Referendum – 17 days to go
FT Poll Tracker: Remain 46% – Leave 43% = Don’t Know 11%
BBC Poll Tracker: Remain 41 – Leave 41 = Don’t Know 13%
William Hill Odds: Remain: 3/10 – Leave: 12/6 – Scotland Vote Leave: 10/1
Note: While the FT and BBC poll trackers have not moved overnight, the William Hill odds have shortened in favour of Vote Leave – not a good sign.
If you are not registered to vote – you must register by 7th June 2016
Sundays are a good day to review how political campaigns are going – and that is just as true for this referendum as for any other major issue. Many people start the day with coffee, the Sunday papers and the Andrew Marr show on BBC TV.
Today’s Andrew Marr Show was very revealing and anyone in the UK who did not see it can watch it on the BBC I-player using this link. Sir John Major KG, the One Nation Conservative Prime Minister before David Cameron was interviewed and he castigated the Vote Leave Campaign describing it as “squalid”, “deceitful” and “fundamentally dishonest”.
One remark was of particular interest. Speaking of the NHS being safe in the hands of Gove, Johnson and Duncan Smith , Sir John said, “The NHS is about as safe with them as a pet hamster would be with a hungry python.”
Boris the Clown was caught on camera listening to Sir John Major and he was, of course, later interviewed by Andrew Marr and waffled on as best he could. He expressly confirmed that the Vote Leave Oberkommando have rejected any Brexit solution which might involve remaining in the single market. That seems to be a change to poor Boris’s previous approach. Perhaps someone has told him that membership of the single market involves the free movement of labour as well as of goods, services, and capital.
It is frightening that the Gove – Johnson – Farrage cabal are so deluded.
As this FT report “Brexit trades: anticipating the markets if Britain votes to leave” makes clear:-
“If Britain votes to leave, a sterling sell-off is a safe bet….Some analysts think the pound could lose as much as a third of its value against the dollar because of worries that leaving the EU will reduce capital inflows, increase the current account deficit and provoke a recession. Michael Saunders, a Citigroup economist soon to join the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, wrote recently that a British exit would probably trigger a 15-20 per cent depreciation against Britain’s main trading partners.”
WARNING – VOTE LEAVE WILL DAMAGE YOUR WEALTH